Kasama

Non-dogmatic…fiercely revolutionary

Nepal Coverage: Revolution and Constituent Assembly

Posted by Mike E on April 12, 2008

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by Mike Ely

Post and discuss Nepal coverage in this thread

The eyes of the world are on Nepal, as a nodal point of their revolution has emerged around the elections for the CA gathering that will debate restructing the society and government.

One way or another things may come a head: Nepal is a country with two armies, one revolutionary Maoist and the other monarchist-oppressive. It is a country where millions of people are determined the old order must go, and are now engaged in a huge fierce debate and struggle over WHAT should replace that old hated order. And in the mix is a creative, massive revolutionary Maoist force (that is also divided into visible wings over direction and goals).

and it is a country with the massive modern Indian army posed at its border — not far from the camps where the Nepali Maoist guerrilla armies have been gathered.

Nepalese society is going through a much belated and popular “bourgeois democratic revolution” (against feudalism) — while this Maoist force is fighting to open a road to socialism by leading that democratic revolution toward the establishment of a revolutionary power of the oppressed.

It is a source of real bitterness and shame, that we revolutionaries in the U.S. are not in a position to reach out broadly to the people around us here — to help politically explain to them the stakes and lessons of this important struggle. The previous organized Maoist forces (centered on the RCP) have simply refused to conduct such work. And we at our Kasama project are still too new-born and primitive to have gotten a serious campaign off the ground (yet!)

Our model must break with the whole legacy of “support” movements — that too often offered a public face of uncritical cheerleading. We need to put all the possibilities and controversies of this moment into peoples hands: the dangers, the conflicts, the controversial actions of this revolution. We need to encourage debate over the living way revolutions pose themselves and the real riptides they face

It has been many decades since a revolutionary force stood at the doorway of nationwide state power. Many revolutionaries don’t even know what a revolution looks like — what the riptides of approach unleash. they don’t appreciate what Lenin and Mao experienced when they talked about the maneuvering and pivoting needed to gather forces, neutralize enemies, probe openings, weigh risks, challenge stronger military forces, prepare for foreign intervention, work through internal line struggles, train gathering revolutionary forces, and more.

This is a living laboratory of revolution unfolding before us — and has been unfolding for a decade and more.

It may fail. Most revolutions fail. Most attempts at revolution fail. It may seize power. It may attempt power and be broken. It may flinch at the doorway of power and lose strategic nerve. That history is unwritten.

But we should watch these events as students and internationalist comrades. We should not assume the best, but we should learn from whatever happens. and we should learn from the ways they brought themselves to this moment. (Not to imitate, like Trekkers dressing up as their favorite characters) but to really learn the methods of applying and developing revolutionary theory in a living moment in the course of class struggle and line struggle. Let’s urge those around us to watch and debate with us.

* * * * * * *

Our previous notes on this election:

In Nepal, the anti-monarchy struggle and the peoples war has produced a situation where a broad range of parties have agreed to a “Constituent Assembly” — an extra-ordinary gathering outside the ordinary parliamentary framework to decide the future framework of Nepali society and government.

There are powerful forces that have repeatedly opposed the creation of such a body — for the obvious reasons that they know that results from the popular process may well be sharply opposed to the status quo. There is struggle both over whether to hold the elections for the Constituent Assembly, and over what kind of society and state this Assembly will approve. We will of course give special attention to the politics and program of the Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) who, after over a decade of peoples war is pushing (within this framework of the Constituent Assembly) to prepare themselves, the people and the country as a whole for a revolutionary transition to a new state and for the socialist road. As news unfolds from these events we will post them here.

Please be aware that reports from the mainstream press are often very misleading. We will post such accounts anyway, and trust the ability of our readers (and our collective discussion) to sort things through.

Previous Kasama posts on Nepal’s revolution

Post comments and articles below

34 Responses to “Nepal Coverage: Revolution and Constituent Assembly”

  1. Mike E said

    the following was posted by Ka Frank:

    Here are three news items from http://www.nepalnews.com on the tense situation in Nepal–particularly between the Nepali Congress Party, historically closely tied to the reactionary Indian Congress Party, and the CPN (Maoist)–just before the elections to the Contituent Assembly.

    (1) Seven Maoist workers killed in police firing in Dang

    Seven Maoist workers were killed in police firing after a bitter clash erupted between Maoist workers and Nepali Congress (NC) workers in Lamahi bazaar area in Dang district on Tuesday night.

    The Maoist-affiliated Young Communist League (YCL) cadres had held 33 workers of NC in the afternoon accusing them of traveling from outside the district to help NC’s candidate in constituency-1, Khum Bahadur Khadka. The NC supporters were said to have been enraged after 33 of their colleagues were held and beaten by YCL.

    Later, as the tension grew, the police intervened and resorted to firing, which left seven YCL cadres dead and one dozen others injured. Five had died on the spot while two more died during treatment.

    Following the tragic incident, the local administration clamped curfew in the area from 10 pm. The curfew has been lifted on Wednesday morning.The violence in Dang comes just two days ahead of the Constituent Assembly election.

    Meanwhile, during his meeting with Maoist chairman Prachanda, Wednesday morning, Prime Minister Girija Prasad Koirala urged him to exercise restraint. Prachanda had demanded that culprits in the Dang incident be arrested and action taken against them immediately. The UML general secretary Madhav Kumar Nepal is also set to meet with PM. nepalnews.com sd Apr 09 08

    (2) PM directs security chiefs to bolster security ahead of the polls

    A day after poll related violence in mid-western Dang and Surkhet districts left 7 Maoist cadres and 1 UML candidate dead, Prime Minister Girija Prasad Koirala held an emergency meeting with heads of security agencies at his official residence in Balwatar Wednesday morning.

    Chief of Army Staff General Rookmangud Katawal, Armed Police Force chief Basudev Oli, Nepal Police IGP Om Bikram Rana and chief of National Investigation Department Dhan Singh Karki were present at the joint meeting where they briefed the Prime Minister about the latest security situation of the country.

    According to a Baluwatar source, after being apprised of the situation in Dang and Surkhet, PM Koirala directed the heads of security agencies to increase coordination among themselves to bolster the security situation of the country ahead of the polls.

    After coming out of the meeting, the security heads declined from making any comment to the press.

    Prior to meeting with the security chiefs PM Koirala had met Prachanda at his residence where he urged the Maoist supremo to exercise restraint.

    Prachanda had demanded that culprits in the Dang incident be arrested and action taken against them immediately. The UML general secretary Madhav Kumar Nepal is also set to meet with PM.

    PM Koirala is scheduled to meet CPN-UML general secretary Madhav Kumar Nepal later today to discuss about the fresh clashes between the cadres of the two parties. nepalnews.com ag Apr 09 08

    (3) Prachanda appeals to all for restraint

    Maoist chairman Prachanda has urged his party cadres and the general public to maintain restraint at this critical situation to make the historical election to the constituent assembly successful.

    In a statement issued Wednesday morning, Prachanda said it is the need of the hour to maintain restrain and express commitments for free and fair election against the criminal behaviour shown by the ‘feudals’.

    He condemned the murder of party cadres in Dang and demanded that the government take action against the culprits involved in the incidents.

    Earlier in the morning, Prachanda and the PM held a meeting at Baluwatar agreeing to ask people for restrain for peaceful voting tomorrow. nepalnews.com ia Apr 09 08

  2. Mike E said

    Oops. My bad. I accidentally deleted the comments on the elections from this thread (including several posts of articles by Ka Frank.)

    Please repost your posts and articles here.

  3. Mike E said

    Nepal police fire on activists
    AFP WEDNESDAY, APRIL 09, 2008

    The upcoming elections are part of a peace process that has ended Nepal’s civil war [AFP]

    Police have opened fire on protesters in western Nepal, killing at least one person, ahead of landmark elections to choose an assembly that will rewrite the constitution.

    Protesters took to the street on Wednesday, angry at the slaying of an election candidate that has prompted authorities to postpone polling in the district.

    Ram Kumar Khanal, an area police chief, said the police had opened fire with live ammunition in order to disperse protesters who were smashing stores and busses.

    He said Wednesday’s protesters were defying a curfew imposed in the area following the killing of the candidate.

    Call for calm

    Prachanda, Nepal’s Maoist leader, earlier called on his party activists to remain calm.

    “The need of the hour is to show restraint and have a fair and free election,” Prachanda said in a statement after meeting Girija Prasad Koirala, Nepal’s prime minister.

    The dead candidate was Rishi Prasad Sharma, a member of the Communist Party of Nepal United Marxist Leninist, one of Nepal’s top three political parties.

    Election officials in Surket district, where Sharma was killed, subsequently postponed voting in Thursday’s constitutional assembly elections.

    A new polling date will be chosen in about a week for the constituency in Jahare Bazar town, Binod Kumar Pokhrel, an election official was reported by the Associated Press as saying.

    Activists killed

    In a separate incident on Tuesday, police shot dead six Maoist activists in Dang district, 300km west of Kathmandu, the capital, officials said.

    Police shot the activists as they clashed with supporters of the rival Nepali Congress party, an official said on Wednesday.

    “Six Maoists were killed and five injured after police intervened in clashes between cadres of the Nepali Congress and Maoist supporters,” Mohan Sapkota said.

    Maoists said a candidate from the Nepali Congress Party ordered police to fire on their cadres in western Nepal late on Tuesday, killing six on the spot.

    Maoists said another died later in hospital, taking the total killed to seven people.

    “This is thuggery and the guilty should be punished,” said Baburam Bhattarai, a senior Maoist leader.

    Officials imposed a curfew in Dang district after the deaths on Tuesday night.

    Modraj Dotel, a spokesman for Nepal’s home ministry, said the incident was being investigated and anyone found guilty would be punished.

    Ian Martin, the head of the UN mission in Nepal said he was “deeply shocked” by the deaths.

    “Security personnel against whom there is reasonable suspicion of excessive use of force or political partiality should be suspended while there is an investigation independent of their chain-of-command,” Martin said in a statement.

    “It has always been our desire … to build a prosperous and peaceful nation through a democratic polity in keeping with the verdict of the sovereign people,” he said in a statement.

    “We call upon all adult citizens to exercise their democratic right in a free and fair environment.”

    Al Jazeera’s Jane Dutton, reporting from Kathmandu, said the situation was tense across the country ahead of the polls.

    “There has been an escalation in violence prior to the elections,” she said, adding that there had been at least four bomb explosions in the capital in recent days.

    Dutton also reported there would be 136,000 police on the streets during the elections and that travel bans and a ban on the sale of alcohol would also be imposed.

    Peace mission

    Tamrat Samuel, a UN official overseeing the elections in Neapl, called the violence “unfortunate”.

    He told Al Jazeera: “These are unfortunate events that should not happen given the committments all the parties have given us. We have been in constant contact with the parties, all are committed to a free and fair election.”

    The United Nations peace mission in Nepal has appealed for an end to pre-election intimidation and violence, which it says could undermine the polls.

    The elections, due on Thursday, are part of a peace process that brought Nepal’s Maoists fighters into mainstream politics and ended a decade-long civil war in which at least 13,000 people have died.

    Background

    - Tucked in the Himalayas between China and India, Nepal occupies an area of 147,000 sq km, with a population of 26.4 million
    - Nearly one-third of its people live on an income of less than a dollar a day
    - Eighty per cent of Nepalis are Hindus
    - Nepal was the world’s last Hindu kingdom, before declaring itself officially secular in 2006
    King Gyanendra, Nepal’s monarch, urged his “beloved countrymen” to vote in the elections, which are almost certain to lead to the abolition of the monarchy.

  4. SS said

    Does anyone know when the election results will become available? Any estimate for how long the process takes?

  5. quirk said

    They say it could take anything up to 3 weeks.

  6. Eddy said

    Dutton also reported there would be 136,000 police on the streets during the elections and that travel bans and a ban on the sale of alcohol would also be imposed.[...]

    Tamrat Samuel, a UN official overseeing the elections in Neapl, called the violence “unfortunate”.

    … but thought to himself, ‘however, a necessary measure to terrorize the population and ensure the desired electoral outcome.’

  7. The Cold Lamper said

    Nepal poll ‘largely peaceful’

    Nepalis have voted in historic polls to elect a 601-seat constituent assembly tasked with writing a new constitution that could spell the end of the Himalayan country’s monarchy.

    Polling on Thursday was largely peaceful, although at least two people were reported to have been killed in violence related to the election.

    One activist was killed in the southern district of Sunsari after clashes between supporters of the Nepali Congress and a political party representing southern residents.

    The second death was an independent candidate who was shot dead by unknown attackers in Sarlahi district, officials said.

    Nepal’s leaders had called for calm after the election campaign was marred by fighting and a series of small bombings. In the two days before the vote, eight people were killed.

    Security high

    Kieran Dwyer, spokesman for the UN mission in Nepal, said: “There have been reports of incidents in some constituencies across the country, but so far in a relatively small number of areas.”

    About 135,000 police, some in helicopters, had been deployed across the the country for the polls.

    Maoists attempted to take over a polling station in the central town of Galkot, before setting it alight, according to a local official.

    Bhawani Prashad Parjuli said that police arrested 15 men after the attack, confiscating three grenades and a knife.

    About 67 per cent of the 17.6 million voters cast ballots, many of lining up before dawn outside the 20,000 polling stations.

    In some places, there was applause as voting got under way and when it ended.

    “This is our chance to stop the bleeding,” Arpana Shrestha, a 47-year-old housewife waiting to vote in the capital Kathmandu, said.

    “Always there was blood in Nepal. Not anymore.”

    Peace deal

    The vote was the climax of a 2006 peace deal with the country’s Maoist rebels which brought them into mainstream politics and ended a decade-long civil war in which at least 13,000 people have died.

    Prachanda, the Maoist leader, was greeted with flowers and cheering crowds when he voted.

    “We are making new history for Nepal and it is fantastic,” he said.
    The assembly’s first tasks will be to abolish the 240-year-old Hindu monarchy and rewrite the constitution.

    King Gyanendra, who came to power in 2001 after much-loved former King Birendra and most of the rest of the family were massacred by the crown prince, did not appear in public on polling day.

    “The post-poll period will likely be difficult and dangerous,” the International Crisis Group, which monitors security issues in different countries, said in a report.

    “Parties will trade allegations of fraud and violence. The behaviour of powerful losers will shape the immediate aftermath.”

    Results are not expected to be announced for several days.

  8. http://mrzine.monthlyreview.org/andresen100408.html

    Letter from Nepal, Wednesday, April 9th
    by Johan Petter Andresen

    Today’s news is dominated by the death of seven Maoists from police fire in Lamahi in Dang, western Nepal. It’s difficult to discern what actually happened through the predominantly anti-Maoist media, but what is certain is that there were no casualties for the police — the result that speaks for itself. The killings came just two days before the historic elections of a Constitutional Assembly, the first democratically elected Constitutional Assembly in Nepal’s history. The Maoist leadership have responded to the deaths by urging their members to show restraint and go ahead with the elections. The pre-election death toll has been by far the highest among Maoists. Meanwhile in another place a UML candidate was killed in a confrontation between UML and Nepali Congress cadres.

    In the Terai plains, various groups who are boycotting the elections have declared a bandh (stoppage). How this will affect the vote tomorrow is hard to predict, but according to UN officials these groups have some sway. The bandh is directed at pedestrians.

    The widely despised feudal king Gyanendra sent out a press release today urging people to vote. The king’s move, a desperate attempt to stay in the game, shows that he is still working to find a way for the monarchy to survive after the elections. The interim parliament, however, has already declared Nepal a republic, stripping the king of all positions in the state, and decided that the first act of the Constitutional Assembly will be to ratify this declaration, irrespective of the electoral results.

    Roughly speaking, the Nepali Congress represents the rich, the UML represents the middle class, and the Maoists represent the working classes. Not surprisingly, there have been many complaints from the Maoists that the richer parties are buying votes. The NC and the UML, in turn, have constantly accused the Maoists of intimidating their candidates and voters. The elections tomorrow will be flawed but the extent of the problem will be difficult to judge.

    As there are no reliable opinion polls, all three major parties have claimed that they will get a majority. The question is what will happen if the results displease the powers that be. What if the Maoists actually win a big majority? That would certainly upset the elite circles in Kathmandu and the international media. Voting will be finished on the tenth of April, but, according to the latest news, the counting might take up to a month. With such a long delay, the losers could take action to change the results in many ways.

    History has shown that the world outside has generally underestimated the Maoists. It’s the Maoists who have been the driving force behind the quick political developments since the December 2006 truce. And the Maoists have put forward the most comprehensive plan for the structure of a new federal republic of Nepal. Will tomorrow’s poll be the first step toward a peaceful restructuring of Nepali society in that direction? Or will we see new hindrances in the struggle for people’s power in Nepal?

    Biratnagar, 9th of April

  9. quirk said

    Breaking results as they come in:
    http://www.nepalnews.com/election/Ktm_Constituency.php

  10. quirk said

    The link above has now changed to:

    http://www.nepalnews.com/election/vote.php

    Maoists have not done well in Katmandu but good results coming in more rural areas.

  11. SS said

    How are the districts apportioned? It seems like even with losses in Katmandu, they are still way ahead (assuming each district there equates to the same amount of representation).

  12. Eddy said

    Times of India

    Nepali Cong holds first victory rally as results trickle in

    11 Apr 2008, 1015 hrs IST,PTI
    SMS NEWS to 58888 for latest updates

    KATHMANDU: Nepali Congress vice president Prakash Man Singh on Friday became the first candidate to be elected to Nepal’s Constituent Assembly as the results for the landmark vote started trickling in.

    Singh, son of 1990 pro-democracy movement hero Ganesh Man Singh, has won the election under direct voting system from the prestigious constituency Kathmandu 1 securing 11,515 votes against his nearest rival from Communist Party of Nepal (UML) Pradip Nepal who bagged over 6000 votes.

    Thousands of supporters of Prime Minister G P Koirala-led Nepali Congress poured into the streets to celebrate the victory after the first result was announced from City Hall in Kathmandu on Friday morning for the vote to elect an Assembly that will rewrite the Constitution and is expected to end the 240-year-old Hindu monarchy.

    India had provided the Electronic Voting Machines which were used for the first time in the constituency on trial basis. The counting in other constituencies in Kathmandu and Lalitpur, Bhaktapur, Banke districts has already begun. However, it will take at least 10 days to get the results from the entire country.

    Among other prominent contestants are Maoist supremo Prachanda from Kathmandu 10 constituency and another seat in Rolpa district and Koirala’s daughter Sujata.

    Despite pre-poll violence, more than 60 per cent voters turned out for the election held for 575 seats including 240 under direct voting and 335 under proportionate voting system.

    The United Nations Mission in Nepal (UNMIN) has called on the political parties and leaders to accept the people’s decision in the Constituent Assembly election, which it said was conducted, by and large, in a peaceful and orderly manner.

  13. SS said

    Never mind, please disregard my previous post. I see now. Sorry, it’s early and my mind hasnt kicked in gear.

  14. Eddy said

    Les Népalais aux urnes pour abolir la monarchie

    LE MONDE | 10.04.08 | 14h06 • Mis à jour le 10.04.08 | 14h09
    KATMANDOU (NÉPAL) ENVOYÉ SPÉCIAL

    Le processus d’abolition de la monarchie népalaise, vieille de 240 ans, a franchi une étape décisive avec l’élection, jeudi 10 avril, d’une Assemblée constituante chargée de proclamer la République. Coincé entre la Chine et l’Inde, le petit royaume himalayen peuplé de 26 millions d’habitants se trouve ainsi au seuil d’une révolution institutionnelle de portée historique dans laquelle le mouvement maoïste, qui avait déposé les armes en 2006 après une décennie de sanglante guérilla (13 000 morts), aura joué un rôle capital.

    Les résultats définitifs ne seront pas connus avant plusieurs semaines, le décompte des suffrages étant compliqué par la coexistence de deux modes de scrutin (majoritaire et proportionnel).

    La première tâche à laquelle devront s’atteler les 601 élus de la future Assemblée constituante sera d’abolir la monarchie. La perspective de ce changement de régime, imposé par les maoïstes comme condition à l’abandon de la guérilla, fait aujourd’hui l’objet d’un relatif consensus au sein de la classe politique. Mais les modalités de la transition demeurent floues et cette incertitude risque fort d’attiser les tensions.

    Un accord signé fin décembre 2007 entre la coalition de six partis modérés au pouvoir et le Parti communiste d’obédience maoïste (PCN-M) spécifiait que la République serait “instituée dès la première réunion de l’Assemblée constituante”. Cela signifie-t-il que la proclamation sera automatique ? Ou devra-t-elle être sanctionnée par un vote ? Technique, la querelle pourrait ranimer de vieilles controverses.

    En effet, la question monarchique au Népal est encore loin d’être scellée. Monté sur le trône à l’issue du massacre de la famille royale en 2001, le roi Gyanendra, personnalité hautaine et arrogante, est certes impopulaire. La victoire du soulèvement démocratique du printemps 2006 dirigé contre son autocratisme s’était rapidement traduite par sa brutale mise à l’écart, l’essentiel de ses prérogatives lui ayant été retirées. Mais sa disgrâce personnelle n’entache que partiellement l’attachement populaire à l’institution de la monarchie.

    Selon les sondages, près d’un Népalais sur deux continue d’avouer sa loyauté à la royauté, perçue comme le seul garant de la cohésion d’un pays aujourd’hui agité de forces centrifuges. “Autant le roi symbolisait la discorde nationale, autant la monarchie symbolise toujours l’unité nationale”, commente Kunda Dixit, rédacteur en chef du Nepali Times.

    Dans le débat qui s’annonce, le vieux Parti du Congrès, conservateur bien que rallié à la rhétorique républicaine sous pression maoïste, jouera un rôle-clé. S’il se taille une place dominante au sein de la future Assemblée constituante, il sera sûrement tenté de prendre des gants dans la liquidation de la royauté, voire de temporiser. Ce coup de frein pourrait être encouragé par l’activisme de groupuscules royalistes, liés à une mouvance hindouiste qui ne décolère toujours pas à l’idée que le royaume – jadis officiellement hindou – ait été laïcisé en 2006.

    Le Parti du Congrès pourra toutefois difficilement renier son engagement républicain, fût-il davantage opportuniste que sincère. Car il prendrait le risque de braquer le PCN-M avec lequel il n’a cessé de composer depuis 2006 au nom de la “paix”.

    Quel que soit leur score au sein de l’Assemblée, les maoïstes conservent une réelle influence sur le terrain, notamment dans les zones montagneuses où ils avaient établi leurs bases. Faut-il prendre au sérieux leurs menaces rituelles de “retourner dans la jungle” en cas de blocage de la transition républicaine ? Jugé peu crédible par la plupart des observateurs à Katmandou, un tel retour en arrière reste techniquement possible, le désarmement de l’Armée de libération du peuple (ALP), la branche armée du PCN-M, n’étant que fictif. En vertu du processus de paix, l’ALP a entreposé ses armes dans des containeurs disposés dans ses vingt-huit camps répartis à travers le pays. “Mais les maoïstes en gardent les clés”, précise un officiel de la Mission des Nations unies pour le Népal (Unmin).

    Outre la proclamation de la République, l’autre gros chantier de l’Assemblée constituante sera l’instauration du fédéralisme. La révolte en 2007 des communautés de la plaine méridionale du Teraï – frontalière de l’Inde -, réclamant une plus grande autonomie par rapport à Katmandou, a ouvert un processus délicat dans un pays où s’entremêlent 103 ethnies et groupes linguistiques. Afin de désamorcer la montée de ces revendications identitaires, la coalition au pouvoir a promis une décentralisation de type fédéral. “Le risque est grand de créer une Bosnie dans chaque district du Népal”, s’alarme Dipak Gyawali, un ex-ministre proche du palais royal. Cette question du fédéralisme pourrait s’avérer, à terme, bien plus périlleuse que la transition républicaine.

    Frédéric Bobin
    Article paru dans l’édition du 11.04.08

  15. quirk said

    Maoists taking lead in most places

    Although the first winner of Thursday’s Constituent Assembly (CA) election was Nepali Congress’ vice president Prakash Man Singh from Kathmandu-1 constituency, the latest election results have shown that Maoists are leading in most places.

    The latest information from Election Commission (EC) shows that the Maoists are leading in over 30 places while NC is leading in half a dozen places.

    In Kathmandu, Maoists are leading in four constituencies while NC is also leading in four constituencies with UML leading in only one.

    In Lalitpur, Maoists are leading in 2 and 3 constituencies with NC leading in 1.

    In Bhaktapur, Nepal Workers and Peasants Party (NWPP) is leading in both constituencies.

    The results of some of these constituencies are expected overnight.

    In Banke, NC acting president Sushil Koirala is still trailing behind Madhesi Janadhikar Forum candidate while KP Oli is leading behind a Maoist candidate in Jhapa district.

    http://www.nepalnews.com/archive/2008/apr/apr11/news17.php

  16. dlh said

    Congratulations to the CPN(M) and the people of Nepal! Hopefully the Party will obtain a majority and can usher in a democratic republic under the leadership of the working people.

  17. Eddy said

    Times of India

    Nepal polls: Good show by Maoists
    12 Apr 2008, 0011 hrs IST,TNN
    SMS NEWS to 58888 for latest updates

    KATHMANDU: As the first results of Nepal’s historic constituent assembly election started coming in from 36 districts, almost half of the 75 that went to the hustings on Thursday, Nepal’s Maoist guerrillas were showing they were as adroit with the ballot as with the bullet, smashing the Communists and giving a neck-and-neck fight to the Democrats of Prime Minister Girija Prasad Koirala’s Nepali Congress (NC).

    Maoist supremo Prachanda, who had cast vote on Thursday after 28 years, led his troops from the front, carving a comfortable margin over his NC challenger Rajendra Kumar KC. Four Maoist ministers were also ahead in the race while rebel dark horses were shooting past strong men of Nepal’s politics.

    Kathmandu valley proved to have voted conservatively, favouring NC candidates in most of the 15 seats.

    The only officially announced result was for constituency 1 in Kathmandu where electronic voting was introduced for the first time.

    Prakash Man Singh, former Physical Planning and Works Minister, who was humiliated during King Gyanendra’s regime with the slapping of a corruption charge and jail term, came out with flying colours, beating his UML rival and Education and Sports Minister Pradeep Nepal by thundering majority.

    The UML had been relegated to a poor third in most of the seats for which the results had started to come in with its ministers and stalwarts suffering humiliating defeats. The surprise match was between UML chief and former deputy PM Madhav Kumar Nepal, who was outpaced by little-known Maoist challenger Jhakku Prasad Subedi.

    Backward and remote areas that had suffered under the state and army during the Maoists’ 10-year “people’s war” were choosing the Maoists over the traditional parties.

    The former rebels were leading in Bardiya, Banke, and in some seats in Nawalparasi. In Chitwan, senior Maoist leader Ram Bahadur Thapa was also leading.

    The election result is also being scrutinised by the palace, whose fate will depend on the outcome.

  18. gangbox said

    Long time lurker, first time poster (not to mention, long time leftist, newly minted RCP supporter).

    I’ve got to say here, at least based on the bourgeois press accounts – not to mention Prachanda’s own statements, it seems to me that the CPN(M) is quite rapidly following in the footsteps of it’s revisionist predecessor, the CPN (UML).

    Prachanda straight up SAID that socialist revolution is impossible, and the best the Nepalese people can hope for is a bourgeois revolution against feudalism.

    And it doesn’t seem that Prachanda and the CPN (M) mean that in the Maoist New Democratic Revolution way (that is, the proletariat and peasantry of a Third World country carrying out the bourgeois revolutionary tasks that a weak comprador bourgeiosie are not capable of doing) but in the revisionist sense of leading a bourgeois revolution ON BEHALF OF a weak comproador bourgeosie!!!.

    Granted, I’m drawing this conclusion with very limited evidence – however, based on what we know, Prachanda and the CPN (M) appear to be quite far advanced in the process of coming under the wing of the bourgeoisie.

    Now, there ARE some perfectly reasonable reasons to justify why they agreed to let the UN detain and disarm the PLA – most notably, the very real possiblity of invasion by the Indian Army and the one-sided bloodbath that might lead to.

    But, on the other hand,if Prachanda and them have abandoned socialist revolution and are devoting themselves to leading a bourgeois revolution on behalf of the Nepalese bourgeoisie (and that’s what he’s saying they’re doing!) then what program does the CPN (M) have to offer to the Nepalese masses?

    Well, let’s face reality here – for the Nepalese masses, this means that they have a pretty bleak “future”.

    They have three “choices”.

    Choice one – being driven off the land into the squalid slums of Kathmandu.

    Choice two – being driven into undocumented immigration to be cheap labor in India (and being cheap labor in a poverty-filled place like India is a pretty dantesque deal – for some, that means working for as little as Rs 1,000 a month – that’s the equivilant of $ 15 US dollars!!!)

    Or (and this is in particular for the teenage girls) the choice of being human trafficked into the brothels of India, Myanmar or Thailand.

    That’s what building Nepalese capitalism means for the Nepalese masses – and, on the real, that is all the “future” that the CPN (M) offers them!!!

    It’s also a future where the party that once held out a road to a better world is now engaged in what looks from here to be a squalid battle with the Nepalese Congress Party and the CPN (UML) over who gets to rule over the Nepalese masses on behalf of the Nepalese bourgeoisie (and, of course, the Indian bourgeoisie and US and British imperialists who ultimately call the shots in that country).

    Comrade Prachanda is positioning himself to be Nepal’s first ever president, when and if the monarchy gets abolished.

    But what does it mean for a communist leader to be president of a capitalist state?

    That means being commander in chief of the Nepalese Army (and being politically responsible when the Army carries out the inevatable home invasions, rapes, murders, arsons and other atrocities to the ethnic minority rebels on the southern plains which WILL happen sooner rather than later no matter who gets to be President of Nepal – or even if they keep the king)

    Being President of capitalist Nepal also means being politically responsible for the Nepalese Police and their atrocities in the slums of Kathmandu and in the villages, not to mention the conduct of the Nepalese court system and the Nepalese prison system.

    And if President Prachanda does NOT carry out these acts of terror against the Nepalese masses on behalf of the Nepalese ruling class and imperialism….well, all I can say is just look up the wikipedia listing for Allende, Salvador and you’ll see where he’ll end up!!!

    Perhaps that explains in part why (according to today’s New York Times) 40% of the Nepalese electorate abstained from voting this week.

    In any case, in light of the facts that we have at hand, it seems kind of odd that some folks here who claim to be committed to the cause of revolution and communism would praise the (apparently) revisionist path the CPN (M) and Prachanda are rapidly striding down.

  19. Iris said

    Many people on this website have taken a critical but supportive view of the CPN(M). Have you read the many posts, for example “Nepal: What Should We Say And Do?” as well as the letters from Prachanda himself? I think it is a great risk, but it still exciting–there are still chances to REALLY seize state power here.

    And these “options” you present…are you thinking about this dialectically? Are sure these are the “only” options for the masses?

    however, your comment about Prachanda taking responsibility for the police and prisons is very interesting, for sure. We need to watch and wait, not pretend it is not happen or ignore the importance of this movement–in an international situation where communism is not as prominant as needed. Not even close.

    I’m glad that you, “a newly minted supporter of the RCP” are reading this site at all. Seriously. That is definately important–all the supporters I know literally shun this site and the people who have left their ranks in my city…

  20. Iris said

    Please debate with us and follow the posts. This is a valuable dialogue.

  21. dlh said

    I don’t know why it’s hard to see that this is a case of dual power, in fact similar to that in Russia prior to October 1917. There are organs of new state power that have not stopped functioning despite the cessation of people’s war. The masses are well-positioned to seize power. I would probably compare this to Czechoslovakia in 1948, however, when the people’s mandate for the Communist Party swept away the post-World War 2 situation of dual power and instituted proletarian dictatorship.

  22. The Cold Lamper said

    Maoist leader wins seat in Nepal

    By BINAJ GURUBACHARYA, Associated Press Writer Sat Apr 12, 1:30 PM ET

    KATMANDU, Nepal – After spending a decade leading a communist insurgency in the mountains of Nepal, former top rebel Prachanda became the newest member Saturday of an assembly that will chart the Himalayan country’s future.

    Prachanda, whose rebel nom de guerre means “the fierce one,” led a powerful showing by the former Maoists rebels in early results from Thursday’s elections. The vote is expected to usher in sweeping changes to the Himalayan country and likely signals the end of a 239-year-old royal dynasty.

    The Maoists, who are still considered a terrorist group by the United States, have so far won 20 out of the 34 constituencies where counting has been completed, the Election Commission said Saturday.

    “This victory is a command by the Nepali people to establish lasting peace,” Prachanda, 54, told reporters after the result was announced. “We are fully committed to the peace process and multiparty democracy and to rebuild this country.”

    Former U.S. President Jimmy Carter, whose Carter Center sent 62 observers to monitor the election, described the election as one of the “most profoundly important” ones he has witnessed. He said it marked the end of a decade of political violence and the likely transformation of Nepal from a Hindu kingdom to a democratic republic.

    “If the Maoists do gain a substantial share of power, I hope the United States will recognize and do business with the government,” Carter said at a news conference in Katmandu.

    Complete results for the 601-seat Constituent Assembly were not expected for a few weeks, though officials said they should have a clear picture of what the assembly will look later this coming week.

    None of the parties who contested the vote — from the Maoists to centrist democrats to old-school royalists — are expected to win a majority. But the Maoists’ strong early showing has surprised most observers, who before the vote had them placing third behind the country’s traditional powers.

    The election has been touted as the cornerstone of the 2006 peace deal with the Maoists, whose 10-year-long insurgency left about 13,000 people dead. The agreement followed weeks of unrest that forced Nepal’s autocratic king to cede absolute power, which he had seized a year earlier.

    Prachanda, whose real name is Pushpa Kamal Dahal, got almost twice the number of votes than his closest competitor, said election official Devendra Parajuli after declaring him the winner of one of Katmandu’s constituencies.

    Afterward, supporters covered him with flower garlands and chanted slogans hailing his victory. Hundreds crowded the Birendra Convention Center in Katmandu where the votes were counted, waving red-and-white flags bearing the hammer and sickle.

    “I want to assure the international community, especially India and China … that we will have good relations with them and work to secure all cooperation for Nepal,” Prachanda said.

    Scattered shootings and clashes that killed two people on election day and eight others in the days leading up to the poll did not deter millions of Nepalis from casting ballots in the country’s first election in nine years.

    Along with the Maoists’ 20 seats, the centrist Nepali Congress won six and the Communist Party of Nepal (United Marxist-Leninist) took five by Saturday evening, the Election Commission said.

    Another small communist party, the Nepal Workers and Peasants’ Party, won two seats, and the Madeshi People’s Right Forum, a party that wants greater autonomy for southern Nepal, won one.

    A complete count of votes in all 240 constituencies was expected to take weeks because of Nepal’s rugged, mountainous terrain. Another 335 seats are being chosen through a nationwide proportional representation system with quotas for women and Nepal’s myriad ethnic and caste groups. The remaining 26 seats are reserved for major politicians who don’t win seats.

    Nonetheless, the Maoists were already predicting a complete victory.

    “We will get a clear majority in the final results,” said Hisila Yami, a senior Maoists member. “This is a reflection of the people’s desire for a republic that our party has always stood for.”

    The Election Commission said there would be re-polling in at least 60 locations because of voting irregularities. That number could rise as election complaints are investigated, it said.

  23. The Cold Lamper said

    CPN-UML top leader resigns for setback in CA election

    http://www.chinaview.cn 2008-04-12 23:38:37

    KATHMANDU, April 12 (Xinhua) — Following his party’s appalling setback in Nepal’s historic Constituent Assembly (CA) elections, General Secretary of the Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist-Leninist) (CPN-UML) Madhav Kumar Nepal Saturday decided to resign from his post.

    The latest report from Nepal’s Election Commission showed that CPN-UML, the third largest party in Nepal’s Interim Parliament, seemed to head towards a huge setback in Thursday’s CA elections.

    Madhav Kumar Nepal was also stunned by his personal defeat against the little known candidate of CPN-M Jhakku Prasad Subedi.

    Stating that he took responsibility of the unexpected defeat of the CPN-UML, Nepal resigned from the party chief in an informal meeting of the party’s central committee Saturday afternoon in Kathmandu.

    The government-owned Radio Nepal quoted CPN-UML central committee member Raghuji Panta as saying, “he has already decided to resign. We agree with the spirit of the decision, but we have suggested him to make the formal announcement only after the complete results of the election come.”

    According to the latest report released by the Election Commission at 7 p.m. local time (1315 GMT) Saturday, CPN-M managed to win 24 seats and took lead in more than 50 percent of total constituencies where the counting was still underway.

    For the cadres of the CPN-UML who used to consider Kathmandu as their stronghold in the past, the results of the elections declared so far came as a bolt from the blue as they failed to win even a single seat in the capital. Till the results of elections were published, CPN-UML cadres boasted Kathmandu as their fortress.

    “Leaders of our party were over-confident and showed little interest during the election campaigning,” said Sailesh Shrestha, a baffled cadre of CPN-UML told Xinhua as most of the bigwigs of their party witnessed a catastrophic defeat in various constituencies throughout the country.

    As of 6 p.m. local time (1215 GMT), CPN-UML lost heavily to the CPN-M and Nepali Congress (NC). The latest reports showed that Nepali Congress and CPN-M managed to overwhelm CPN-UML in all 10 constituencies of capital Kathmandu.

    Meanwhile, senior CPN-M leader Hisila Yami, who posted victory in Kathmandu’s constituency-7, said that they could have won more than three-fourth majority had there been some sort of understanding among the communist parties of Nepal. Only two out of nearly half-a-dozen communist parties of Nepal managed to form an alliance with the CPN-M prior to the CA elections.

    “We tried our best to reach some form of understanding with the CPN-UML but they were too conceited to heed our request,” Yami told Xinhua.

    The leaders of the CPN-M predicted to win unprecedented victory in the election for the 601-seat CA assembly which would draft Nepal’s new constitution.

    Of the 601 Constituent Assembly seats, 240 are directly elected. Another 26 will later be appointed by the government, while the remaining 335 will be allotted to the parties under a proportional representation system.

    Editor: Yan Liang

  24. Ka Frank said

    Here are three news items from today’s www. nepalnews.com. It appears that the cities are reporting results first. Since the CPN(M) has a powerful rural mass base, it’s likely that the current Maoist lead in the polls will grow in the days ahead. The main question for the elections will then be whether the Maoists win a plurality or a majority in the Constituent Assembly.

    (1) Maoists taking lead in most places

    Although the first winner of Thursday’s Constituent Assembly (CA) election was Nepali Congress’ vice president Prakash Man Singh from Kathmandu-1 constituency, the latest election results have shown that Maoists are leading in most places.

    The latest information from Election Commission (EC) shows that the Maoists are leading in over 30 places while NC is leading in half a dozen places.

    In Kathmandu, Maoists are leading in four constituencies while NC is also leading in four constituencies with UML leading in only one.

    In Lalitpur, Maoists are leading in 2 and 3 constituencies with NC leading in 1.

    In Bhaktapur, Nepal Workers and Peasants Party (NWPP) is leading in both constituencies.

    The results of some of these constituencies are expected overnight.

    In Banke, NC acting president Sushil Koirala is still trailing behind Madhesi Janadhikar Forum candidate while KP Oli is leading behind a Maoist candidate in Jhapa district. nepalnews.com sd Apr 11 08

    (2) Carter says US should recognize Maoist poll victory

    Former US president Jimmy Carter on Saturday said that the outcome of the Constituent Assembly election would “truly represent the aspirations of the people”.

    Speaking at a press conference he organized a day prior to leaving Nepal where he had come with a 60-member election observer team for poll monitoring mission, Carter also said that by conducting the elections peacefully Nepal has “set an example before the world”.

    “The Carter Center found that the majority of Nepali voters participated in a remarkable and relatively peaceful constituent assembly election on April 10, 2008. Preliminary reports indicate that the administration of this election was well executed, bearing testimony to the hard work of election officials and the determination of Nepal’s people to ensure that their country continues on the path to sustainable peace and democracy,” he said reading out from a statement issued by the center.

    Saying that it essential for Nepal “to remain calm, to await final results, and where there are disputes, to follow appropriate legal procedures”, Carter said the center will continue to observe the district counting and national tabulation until they are complete.

    The co-founder of the Carter Center said that this election was important to “end the 12-years-long conflict, establish republican set up in Nepal and provide a new opportunity to the marginalized community”, while congratulating the enthusiasm and determination of Nepal’s people to help consolidate peace and democracy by participating in the election of a body that will write a new constitution.

    “We encourage all Nepalis to remain actively involved in the drafting of the constitution to ensure that the process is transparent, accountable and inclusive,” he said.

    Regarding poll-related violence, Carter said that not only the Maoists but other political parties were found equally responsible for it, insisting that the brutal killing of 7 unarmed Maoist activists in Dang shouldn’t be forgotten or overlooked.

    He also flayed the policy of the current Bush administration not to engage in any sort of dialogue with the Maoists, and said that even if the party does “extremely well” in the polls the US should recognize it. nepalnews.com ag Apr 12 08

    (3) MK Nepal announces resignation as UML gen secy

    CPN-UML general secretary Madhav Kumar Nepal has announced resignation from his post taking responsibility of the unexpected defeat of the party, as well as his own, in the constituent assembly election.

    Nepal pledged to resign as the party chief during an informal meeting of the central committee today.

    “He has already decided to resign. We agree with the spirit of the decision, but we have suggested him to make the formal announcement only after the complete results of the election come,” UML central committee member, Raghuji Panta, told Radio Nepal. Panta himself lost to Maoist candidate Pampha Bhusal in Lalitpur-3.

    Nepal has been heading the UML since past 15 years. His decision to quit as the general secretary came after the party lost several key constituencies, including in Kathmandu district, where the party had won in previous general elections. nepalnews.com mk Apr 12 08

  25. Stiofan said

    The BBC is making the electoral triumph of the CPN(M) a leading story, complete with video of the celebrations

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/7344983.stm

    The reports talks of the shock that in this “post-communist age” the CPN(M) has shown such tremendous, nation wide support. This was attributed to the party’s “base among the people.”

  26. I highly recommend tracking the election at the nepalnews.com
    website. They are constantly updating the completed returns (currently 65 out of 120 “first past the post” seats for the Maobadi).

    I used it as a source for a short post at Fire on the Mountain and was able to include such revealing facts as the huge margins for Bhattarai and Prachanda in the constituencies they ran in, and the resignations–already–of the heads of both the CPN (UML) and the Congress Party because of the shellacking their parties are taking.

  27. Also, for those seeking something a little chewy in the gaps when nepalnews.com hasn’t been updating the returns as often as you go to check ‘em, Fire on the Mountain has just published a December interview with CPN(M) central committee member Hisila Yami on their strategic approach, which Kasama regulars and visitors may well find of interest.

  28. nhorning said

    I have to say up front that I’m not a communist and I don’t pretend to be. And, I have to say Positions like Gangbox are one of the reasons why. The CPN(M) today just unveiled a best case scenario. They just shocked the entire international community that had bought into the urban elite propaganda ( given, there was so much of it I almost believed it). It was comical watching all the international institutions rush to legitimize the elections. They obviously thought the Maoists were going to lose badly, and the question among analysts was if the Maoists would accept the results. Now, after the elections have been declared by every relevant institution, the question is over whether the U.S. will accept the results. They will just about have too.

    This situation is far better — thats right BETTER — than a military victory. A military victory would have given both internal and external enemies a supportable excuse to turn Nepal into a pariah state. Now check out the results on http://www.blog.com.np It’s usually full of rabid royalists posters. There’s a few of them still there, but the vast majority of even the most stalwart anti-Maoists now have no ammunition left. The Maoists are in power, they did it fairly, and it is clear that a Majority of the population is with them. That is something that NEVER would have happened with a military victory. Whether it was true or not, the story would always be that they gained power through violence and intimidation. Who can honestly claim that they did that now?

    In order to achieve this, The Maoists have sacrificed minor portions of their ideology. They have not renounced violent revolution as a means of political change, but they have integrated multi-party democracy as a permanent facet of Prachanda Path. Why did they do that? objective conditions play a role, but something happened before that. They staged their own elections within their base area’s before a peace deal with the parties was ever made. The elections were not open to other parties but independent candidates were allowed. They LOST them humiliatingly (worker 10). It’s my belief that their loss in these elections had the counterintuitive effect of cementing democracy within the mind of the party. They realized that without constant direct intervention from the masses with independently verifiable results, the party could become ossified and divorced from them very suddenly. They have obviously addressed the issues that caused them to lose their own elections, because they just handed out a drumming in elections that really count. Part of mass line as I understand it is figuring out what the masses want, and then synthesizing those idea’s and implementing them. The Maoists told me on repeated occasions that the masses in Nepal want democracy. Because of this realization (and their trust in it) The Maoists are now about to have the overwhelming majority say of what goes into the constitution. Their enemies at home and abroad cannot launch an indignant propaganda offensive, claim refugee status, threaten sanctions, or surreptitiously invade. All they can do is grin and bear it.

    That is not to say their aren’t challenges ahead, but if the Maoists cannot lead the nation under these circumstances, then they would not have been able to lead it in the first place, whatever path to power they took. After this validation of that strategy, If all their affiliates abroad can do is criticize the Maoists for taking a risk and trusting the people of their own country, I think the Maobadi deserve to be the leaders of the international movement.

  29. Pavel said

    Check out this morning’s coverage of Nepal in the RCP newspaper Revolution.

  30. Pavel said

    Oh. You couldn’t find any, you say.

    But how that be?

    The vanguard party of the U.S., headed by Bob Avakian (a leader on the order of Marx, Lenin or Mao), has no comment on the reports multiplying from Saturday evening showing that Prachanda’s predictions of a CPI(M) victory were accurate?

    Bob hasn’t had enough time to analyze?

  31. Pavel said

    Oops. I of course meant CPN(M).

  32. zerohour said

    NHorning -

    Thanks for your thoughtful and informed post.

    I think it’s important to break out of that way of thinking that reduces Maoism [or any "ism"] that reduces historical practice to set of immutable templates that must be used as a yardstick for future practice and followed blindly.

    Nepal 2008 is not China 1949 or Chile 1973. Such arguments by analogy, besides being logically fallacious, ignores the concrete conditions of Nepal, not to mention the radically different world situation and the ideology of the CPN[M]. Also, I think the verdict on Chile needs to be revisited too but that’s another discussion.

    Gangbox, the problem isn’t just limited information, but your method of investigation which filters everything through pre-defined models. If you want to do what Mao did, you don’t replicate his actions regardless of historical context, you retain his spirit of dialectical, critical praxis that enabled him to come up with creative and appropriate solutions.

    As others have noted on this site, the CPN[M] experiment could backfire, they could capitulate or be overthrown. But I think the rigidly-minded are more afraid that they might actually succeed and provide an example of a successful socialist revolution that challenges verdicts that were once thought to be set in stone.

    To help with the information gap on Nepal: http://nepal.singlespark.org/?id=docs.

  33. TellNoLies said

    NHorning,

    I’d also like to thank you for your comments. One of the things that I think is most valuable about Kasama is precisely the genuine openness to discussions across ideological lines. I consider myself a communist but not a Maoist. That said I find the events in Nepal exhilerating.

    A few comments,

    First, I think its a mistake to pose the victory in the CA elections against a military victory. In the first place, the CA elections wouldn’t have even taken place without the military triumphs of the Maoists which precipitated the crisis in the monarchical and feudal order producing the popular uprising in alliance with the seven parties. In the second place, there remains an unresolved military question. The Maoists are demanding the incorporation of their fighters and commanders into the Nepali Army. The CA election results greatly improve the prospects for this occurring peacefully, but royalists and the imperialists know full well that such a development would strip them of their most important basis of power and we should not be suprised if they attempt to resist and create a pretext for reinitiating hostilities.

    Second, the question of the role of previous elections conducted under the CPN(M) in their base areas is an interesting one. It reminds me of the early experience of the Zapatistas shortly after their founding as a guerrilla nucleus in 1983 in their encounter with the indigenous villages which they have come to describe as their “first defeat” in which they were compelled to accept the villages structures of democratic self-governance and accomodate their own politico-military structure to them.

    There is, I think, a real and global shift in the political outlook and capacities of rural producers of the world that has created a situation that is radically different than that encountered by the Chinese Communists and which forces a real rethinking on the part of revolutionaries of the question of democracy. Changes in literacy and connectivity and the accumulation of experiences in all sorts of struggles have really transformed the agency of rural producers. Broadly speaking, it has been formations that have had the flexibility to adapt to these changes (the Zapatistas, the MST in Brazil, the Maoists in Nepal) that have emerged as the models of revolution in the countryside in the 21st century.

    Finally, I think the characterization of the mass line as being about “figuring out what the masses want, and then synthesizing those idea’s and implementing them” leaves out the critical question of the (communist) basis from which the synthesis is made. That said I think there is an enrichment of the mass line that is occurring here precisely as a result of the transformations described above and that there is probably truth in the observation that the masses taught the CPN(M) something about the importance of democracy.

    Zerohour,

    I’ve been thinking a lot about the Chilean experience as well in the light of these developments and would be interested in your thoughts how “the” verdict on Chile might be revised.

  34. zerohour said

    [I want to apologize for hijacking this extremely important thread but answering Tellnolies’s question is taking me longer than I thought it would]

    For RCP, but probably many others, Salvador Allende is the answer for the question of why there can be no electoral road to socialism.

    This claim was justified by pointing to the fact that he could not resist the CIA-organized coup. Having come to power through elections rather than the armed seizure of power, Allende did not have an orientation of arming the masses and the masses had no experience with revolutionary warfare. Subsequently, Chile was ripe for just such a coup.

    Although the Party published a book on Chile, I haven’t read it but I’ve seen no indication that the Party supporters I met have either. This is how I’ve always understood the problem and I’ve always put off studying Chile because I always had other priorities.

    On reflection, I see the pragmatic nature of this approach in which the success or failure of a strategy can be determined exclusively by its results. I was never told what policies were being implemented, how the masses were mobilized, how society was, or was not, being transformed socially, culturally and economically, what his foreign policy was [besides being friendly to Castro] – a whole range of issues rendered irrelevant by RCP supporters.
    As far as the coup, from my limited understanding, his fate was sealed because of his almost sacred faith in bourgeois norms. He believed his internal enemies felt bound by the same norms and held onto this belief even after it became fatally obvious how wrong he was. Subsequently, he refused to arm the populace even though they were demanding it – choosing legality over popular will, when the former had already been nullified by his opposition. He had allies in the military but refused to mobilize them separately for national defense, or isolate them from the coup plotters leaving them open for assassination. If he had done things differently I’m not sure he would have won but there would have been a spirited fight. I don’t know what the balance of forces in the military was, but a popular fighting force with no collective experience, no matter how committed, probably would not have been very effective given the short amount of time they would have had to pull things together.
    Admittedly these fatal errors, stem from an abstract conflation of politics with procedure, but I feel more that Allende’s failures have to do more with his attitude towards electoral politics, not electoral politics in and of itself [?] For a better understanding, I’d like to do more study, but until then, I’m no longer advocating the dismissive RCP line. I might come to the same conclusions anyway, but I’d rather do so in the right way – at the end of the inquiry, not the beginning.

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